Greece AEK Athens – Real Madrid Spain

AEK Athens - Real Madrid: head to head and statistics

Mark your calendar for 4 Nov 2026, when AEK Athens take on Real Madrid in their next match. The Euroranking model gives Real Madrid a 57% probability of winning, compared with 20% for AEK Athens. AEK Athens have posted a recent record of 4 victories, 1 draw, and 0 defeats from their last five games. Over the previous five fixtures, Real Madrid picked up 4 wins, settled for 0 draws, and suffered 1 loss. AEK Athens carry an Elo rating of 1636 points, with Real Madrid currently rated at 1880.

Matches 2026/27

4 Nov 2026 AEK Athens 20% 23% 57% Real Madrid 2026/27 Champions League League phase – Matchday 4

The percentages are calculated based on the difference in team strength according to our own rating system. The model converts this difference into the probability of either team winning, while the probability of a draw depends on how evenly matched the teams are — the smaller the gap in strength, the higher the chance of a draw.

Ranking position – UEFA

Club 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Total
2 Spain Real Madrid 30.000 29.000 34.000 24.500 27.000 144.500
84 Greece AEK Athens 1.500 0.000 3.000 2.000 17.500 24.000

Form in recent games

AEK Athens
10 Oct 2026 3:0 🏠 OFI Crete Superleague
20 Sep 2026 2:1 🚌 Volos NFC Superleague
13 Sep 2026 1:1 🚌 Asteras Tripolis Superleague
8 Sep 2026 1:0 🏠 LASK Champions League
5 Sep 2026 5:0 🏠 Aris Thessaloniki Superleague
Real Madrid
10 Oct 2026 1:0 🏠 Villarreal CF La Liga
20 Sep 2026 1:2 🚌 Atlético de Madrid La Liga
15 Sep 2026 3:2 🚌 Elche CF La Liga
12 Sep 2026 4:1 🏠 Rayo Vallecano La Liga
8 Sep 2026 2:1 🏠 Inter Milan Champions League

Elo Ranking

Club Elo Last changes
6 Spain Real Madrid 1880 +3.27 -11.79 +3.69 +3.24 +16.65 -13.15 +2.08 +3.20 +4.68 +3.24
56 Greece AEK Athens 1636 +3.36 +2.31 -7.59 +10.87 +4.57 -7.36 +15.26 +0.82 +2.48 -0.84
View the full ranking »
In the last 30 days, AEK Athens lost 1.92 pts in Elo rating. That number indicates a stable level of performance in form. The largest gain in that period was +3.36 pts after the match against OFI Crete (3:0, 10 Oct 2026), while the largest loss in that period was -7.59 pts after the game against Asteras Tripolis (1:1, 13 Sep 2026). In the last 30 days, Real Madrid lost 1.59 pts in Elo rating. That number indicates a stable level of performance in form. The largest gain in that period was +3.69 pts after the match against Elche CF (3:2, 15 Sep 2026), while the largest loss in that period was -11.79 pts after the game against Atlético de Madrid (1:2, 20 Sep 2026). Read more about our methodology »

Greece - Spain

16 Apr 2026 AEK Athens 3:1 Rayo Vallecano 2025/26 Conference League Quarter-final
9 Apr 2026 Rayo Vallecano 3:0 AEK Athens 2025/26 Conference League Quarter-final
19 Mar 2026 Real Betis 4:0 Panathinaikos AO 2025/26 Europa League Round of 16
12 Mar 2026 Panathinaikos AO 1:0 Real Betis 2025/26 Europa League Round of 16
26 Feb 2026 Celta Vigo 1:0 PAOK Thessaloniki 2025/26 Europa League Round of 32

FAQ

The next match between AEK Athens and Real Madrid will take place on 4 Nov 2026.