The qualification simulator allows you to explore different qualification scenarios and see how individual match results affect the rest of the competition. It was created for football fans, followers of UEFA rankings, and enthusiasts of football statistics who want to better understand how qualification for European competitions works.
For matches that have not yet been played, the simulator displays a mathematically calculated qualification probability based on the Elo rating of each club. You can keep the calculated probabilities or manually choose the winner of any tie. Every change is processed instantly, with the algorithm recalculating subsequent rounds, potential opponents, seedings, and qualification paths for every club.
The simulator makes it easy to compare different scenarios—from the most likely outcomes to your own custom predictions. This allows you to see how a single result can influence future draws, the tournament bracket, and each club's path to the league phase of UEFA competitions.
Once the qualifiers are over, the simulator does not stop. After the league phase draw, our simulator displays a projected table, which shows:
- each club's predicted position in the league phase table,
- their chances of advancing to the knockout phase,
- their projected number of points according to the Elo algorithm.
All calculations are based on up-to-date data and our proprietary Elo model, which evaluates the strength of clubs according to their match results. This makes the simulator a valuable tool for analysing possible qualification and league phase scenarios and gaining a deeper understanding of how individual results shape the final table and tournament bracket.