Euroranking is an independent, hobby project that translates complex UEFA data into statistical projections and concrete scenarios. By continuously tracking league tables across Europe, it uses proprietary algorithms to estimate each team's chances of advancing.
Key Features:
- Seeding Forecasts: Check in real-time whether your club will be seeded in the summer qualifiers and see how UEFA access list shifts affect their situation.
- Proprietary Power Ranking: An alternative team strength index reflecting real, current form rather than just a dry 5-year historical coefficient.
- Monte Carlo Simulator: Running 100,000 simulations per round. The algorithm computes percentage-based probabilities for qualification, predicts potential paths, and projects pot allocations.
A Vision of the Future: Visit your club's profile to view their potential opponents, or use live domestic tables to preview the layout of the next European season long before the current campaigns end.
Upcoming matches
| 13 Oct 2026 13 Oct 2026 | Sabah FK | 36% | 25% | 39% | Slavia Prague | League phase – Matchday 2 | Head-to-head record and team comparison Sabah FK - Slavia Prague |
| 13 Oct 2026 13 Oct 2026 | Galatasaray SK | 13% | 22% | 65% | FC Barcelona | League phase – Matchday 2 | Head-to-head record and team comparison Galatasaray SK - FC Barcelona |
| 14 Oct 2026 14 Oct 2026 | Aston Villa | 63% | 23% | 14% | Fenerbahçe SK | League phase – Matchday 2 | Head-to-head record and team comparison Aston Villa - Fenerbahçe SK |
| 13 Oct 2026 13 Oct 2026 | RC Lens | 37% | 26% | 37% | Sporting CP | League phase – Matchday 2 | Head-to-head record and team comparison RC Lens - Sporting CP |
| 13 Oct 2026 13 Oct 2026 | Arsenal FC | 69% | 22% | 9% | LOSC Lille | League phase – Matchday 2 | Head-to-head record and team comparison Arsenal FC - LOSC Lille |
| 13 Oct 2026 13 Oct 2026 | Atlético de Madrid | 43% | 25% | 32% | Manchester United | League phase – Matchday 2 | Head-to-head record and team comparison Atlético de Madrid - Manchester United |
| 15 Oct 2026 15 Oct 2026 | Sparta Prague | 66% | 22% | 12% | Lillestrøm SK | League phase – Matchday 2 | Head-to-head record and team comparison Sparta Prague - Lillestrøm SK |
| 15 Oct 2026 15 Oct 2026 | Ferencvárosi TC | 56% | 24% | 20% | Viktoria Plzeň | League phase – Matchday 2 | Head-to-head record and team comparison Ferencvárosi TC - Viktoria Plzeň |
| 15 Oct 2026 15 Oct 2026 | TSG Hoffenheim | 52% | 24% | 24% | Beşiktaş JK | League phase – Matchday 2 | Head-to-head record and team comparison TSG Hoffenheim - Beşiktaş JK |
| 15 Oct 2026 15 Oct 2026 | NEC Nijmegen | 31% | 25% | 44% | Levski Sofia | League phase – Matchday 2 | Head-to-head record and team comparison NEC Nijmegen - Levski Sofia |
| 15 Oct 2026 15 Oct 2026 | PFK CSKA Sofia | 19% | 23% | 58% | AS Monaco | League phase – Matchday 1 | Head-to-head record and team comparison PFK CSKA Sofia - AS Monaco |
| 15 Oct 2026 15 Oct 2026 | SC Freiburg | 68% | 22% | 10% | FK Jablonec | League phase – Matchday 1 | Head-to-head record and team comparison SC Freiburg - FK Jablonec |
| 15 Oct 2026 15 Oct 2026 | KuPS | 24% | 24% | 52% | Trabzonspor Kulübü | League phase – Matchday 1 | Head-to-head record and team comparison KuPS - Trabzonspor Kulübü |
| 15 Oct 2026 15 Oct 2026 | Atalanta BC | 64% | 22% | 14% | Pafos FC | League phase – Matchday 1 | Head-to-head record and team comparison Atalanta BC - Pafos FC |
The percentages are calculated based on the difference in team strength according to our own rating system. The model converts this difference into the probability of either team winning, while the probability of a draw depends on how evenly matched the teams are — the smaller the gap in strength, the higher the chance of a draw.
How does the simulator work?
Our simulator allows you to take control of European cup scenarios and explore hundreds of alternative qualification paths.
- Clear Round-by-Round Breakdown: Each stage of the qualifiers is displayed in its own distinct window, allowing you to track step-by-step how clubs progress through the tournament structure.
- Quick Team Identification: Next to each club’s name, you will see their national flag and official UEFA coefficient (Club Coefficient). This lets you instantly see who holds the theoretical advantage heading into the draw.
- Create Your Own Scenarios: For rounds that have not yet been played, the algorithm displays mathematically calculated advancement probabilities. You can manually override these to 100% (guaranteed win) or 0% (guaranteed elimination). The moment you change this single variable, the simulator instantly recalculates the rest of the tournament, showing how that one result reshapes future draws, seedings, and potential matchups down the line!
- Once the qualifiers are over, the simulator does not stop. After the league phase draw, our simulator displays a projected table, which shows each club’s chances of advancing to the knockout phase and the number of points predicted by the algorithm.
| 1 |
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Bayern Munich | 17.0 | 71% | 99% |
| 2 |
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Arsenal FC | 16.7 | 70% | 99% |
| 3 |
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FC Barcelona | 15.7 | 61% | 98% |
| 4 |
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Real Madrid | 15.6 | 64% | 98% |
| 5 |
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Manchester City | 15.2 | 55% | 97% |
| 6 |
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Paris Saint-Germain | 15.1 | 52% | 97% |
| 7 |
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Liverpool FC | 14.9 | 49% | 96% |
| 8 |
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Aston Villa | 14.7 | 51% | 97% |
| 9 |
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Sporting CP | 13.7 | 35% | 93% |
| 10 |
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Borussia Dortmund | 13.5 | 37% | 93% |
| 11 |
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Inter Milan | 13.4 | 38% | 93% |
| 12 |
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Real Betis | 13.0 | 33% | 92% |
| 13 |
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Manchester United | 12.7 | 23% | 84% |
| 14 |
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Como 1907 | 12.6 | 22% | 85% |
| 15 |
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VfB Stuttgart | 12.6 | 25% | 87% |
| 16 |
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RC Lens | 12.4 | 20% | 81% |
How many teams will qualify for European competitions?
36 teams advance to the league phase:
- 29 teams directly
- 5 teams from the champions path qualifiers
- 2 teams from the league path qualifiers
Qualification routes:
- domestic championship
- league finish in the strongest federations
- winning the previous edition of the CL or EL
- passing through qualifiers
36 teams advance to the league phase:
- 13 teams directly
- 12 teams promoted from qualifiers
- 11 teams dropping down from Champions League qualifying (play-offs + league path round 3)
Qualification routes:
- winning the domestic cup
- high league finish
- passing through qualifiers
- elimination from the relevant CL round
36 teams advance to the league phase:
- 36 teams from qualifiers
Some participants also enter after being eliminated from EL qualifying. Teams from the strongest federations enter from the play-off round.
Qualification routes:
- league finish
- domestic cup (weakest federations)
- passing through qualifiers
- dropping down from EL or CL qualifying
2027/28 Seeding
The league season is still underway, but the simulator is already generating seeding projections for the 2027/28 season. Check which teams will take part in the qualifying rounds according to projected tables based on Elo simulations, and see which teams will be seeded based on their current UEFA coefficient.
Projected tables are generated using simulations based on the Elo ranking and are updated as more rounds are played in the domestic leagues. Based on them, the projected final positions of clubs are determined, making it possible to identify which teams will be among the participants in the qualifying rounds of the Champions League, Europa League and Conference League.
Seeding for the draws is calculated independently, based on the clubs’ current UEFA coefficients, regardless of how the situation in the domestic league tables changes.
| 🏅 |
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FK Bodø/Glimt | ||
| ⬆️ |
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Ferencvárosi TC | ||
| 🏅 |
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FC Copenhagen | ||
| ⬆️ |
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Dinamo Zagreb | ||
| ⬆️ |
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Celtic FC | ||
| ⬆️ |
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Red Star Belgrade | ||
| ⬆️ |
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Omonia Nicosia | ||
| ⬆️ |
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Levski Sofia | ||
| 🏅 |
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AEK Athens | ||
| 🏅 |
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Lech Poznań |
FAQ
The national coefficient ranking determines how many clubs from each country qualify for European competitions and at which stage they enter.
The club coefficient ranking reflects the strength of a specific team. It determines whether a club is seeded in draws and avoids strong opponents.
For both countries and clubs, results from the last 5 seasons of the UEFA coefficient are taken into account. After each year, the oldest season drops off and is replaced by the current one.
In the league phase and knockout stage the rules are simple:
- 2 points – for a win,
- 1 point – for a draw,
- 0 points – for a loss.
In qualification rounds, points are halved (1 point for a win, 0.5 points for a draw). These points contribute to the UEFA club coefficient.
For UEFA coefficient purposes, the result after 120 minutes (regular time + extra time) is counted. Penalty shootouts do not award additional match points – the team that advances after penalties receives points as for a draw.
All points earned by clubs from a given country are summed (including bonuses for progression), and the result is divided by the number of teams that participated in European competitions from that league. This forms the UEFA country coefficient.
Example: If a league is represented by 4 clubs and they earn 24 points in total, the country receives 6.000 coefficient points (24 / 4).
These are “bonuses” awarded by UEFA for high positions in the league phase and for advancing to further rounds (e.g. the round of 16).
The highest bonuses are available in the Champions League, smaller ones in the Europa League, and the lowest in the Conference League. They are included in both the club and country UEFA coefficient rankings.
The UEFA country coefficient ranking works with a one-year delay. The places earned by countries at the end of the 2025/2026 season will determine the number of teams in European competitions only in the 2027/2028 season. This gives clubs time to prepare for their new qualification spots.
No. The UEFA coefficient ranking takes into account only club matches (Champions League, Europa League and Conference League). National team matches (e.g. at the Euros or Nations League) have no impact on it.
When are the draws and matches for the UEFA club competition qualifiers?
| Round | Draw | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Round 1 | 16.06.2026 | 07-09.07.2026, 14-16.07.2026 |
| Round 2 | 17.06.2026 | 21-23.07.2026, 28-30.07.2026 |
| Round 3 | 20.07.2026 | 04-06.08.2026, 11-13.08.2026 |
| Play-off | 03.08.2026 | 18-20.08.2026, 25-27.08.2026 |
| League phase | 28.08.2026 |
The tournament schedule kicks off in mid-June. The draw for Round 1 is scheduled for June 16, 2026, with the two-legged ties taking place on July 7–9 and July 14–16. Just a day after the initial draw, on June 17, the matchups for Round 2 will be determined, with those fixtures set for July 21–23 and July 28–30.
Moving into August, the Round 3 draw will be held on July 20, followed by matches on August 4–6 and August 11–13. The final hurdle before the main tournament is the Play-offs: the pairings will be drawn on August 3, and the decisive matches are scheduled for August 18–20 and August 25–27. The entire qualifying process wraps up with the League Phase draw on August 28, 2026.
An important procedural rule to keep in mind: if a draw for the next round takes place before the return legs of the current round are completed, whole pairings are drawn rather than individual teams. In this scenario, the higher (better) coefficient of the pairing is assigned to the potential winner for seeding purposes, while the lower (worse) coefficient goes to the loser. This means that, theoretically, an underdog with a lower ranking can "inherit" the high coefficient of their stronger opponent for the upcoming round's draw.