France Le Mans – Toulouse FC France

Le Mans - Toulouse FC: head to head and statistics

Le Mans are due to face Toulouse FC on 16 Oct 2026 in their next match. Our analytical model estimates the win probability for Toulouse FC at 53%, while Le Mans are given a 24% chance. Recent form over the last 5 games for Le Mans shows a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats. As for Toulouse FC, their recent 5-match run stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. In terms of overall Elo rating, Le Mans hold 1408 points, while Toulouse FC record a tally of 1606 points.

Upcoming matches Le Mans - Toulouse FC

16 Oct 2026 Le Mans 24% 23% 53% Toulouse FC 2026/27 Ligue 1 Matchday 7
6 Mar 2027 Toulouse FC 63% 23% 14% Le Mans 2026/27 Ligue 1 Matchday 23

The percentages are calculated based on the difference in team strength according to our own rating system. The model converts this difference into the probability of either team winning, while the probability of a draw depends on how evenly matched the teams are — the smaller the gap in strength, the higher the chance of a draw.

Form in recent games

Le Mans
10 Oct 2026 1:3 🚌 Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1
19 Sep 2026 2:1 🏠 FC Lorient Ligue 1
13 Sep 2026 2:2 🏠 RC Lens Ligue 1
5 Sep 2026 1:1 🚌 OGC Nice Ligue 1
30 Aug 2026 2:3 🚌 Stade Rennais FC Ligue 1
Toulouse FC
10 Oct 2026 2:2 🚌 AS Monaco Ligue 1
19 Sep 2026 3:2 🏠 Le Havre AC Ligue 1
12 Sep 2026 2:2 🚌 FC Lorient Ligue 1
3 Sep 2026 0:1 🏠 LOSC Lille Ligue 1
29 Aug 2026 2:2 🚌 Stade Brestois 29 Ligue 1

Elo Ranking

Club Elo Last changes
73 France Toulouse FC 1606 +5.28 +6.36 +1.94 -8.82 +1.31 -9.47 -1.65 +12.12 +13.47 +2.13
303 France Le Mans 1408 -0.64 +13.93 +6.93 +5.21 -2.39 +4.05 +11.09 +2.00 +1.31 +7.58
View the full ranking »
In the previous 30 days, Le Mans gained 20.22 pts in Elo rating. This figure suggests an increase in form. The biggest gain in that period was +13.93 pts after the game against FC Lorient (2:1, 19 Sep 2026), and the largest loss in that period was -0.64 pts after the match against Paris Saint-Germain (1:3, 10 Oct 2026). In the previous 30 days, Toulouse FC gained 13.58 pts in Elo rating. This figure suggests an increase in form. The biggest gain in that period was +6.36 pts after the game against Le Havre AC (3:2, 19 Sep 2026). Read more about our methodology »

FAQ

The next match between Le Mans and Toulouse FC will take place on 16 Oct 2026.