Kazakhstan Kairat Almaty – Irtysh Pavlodar Kazakhstan

Kairat Almaty - Irtysh Pavlodar: head to head and statistics

On 18 Oct 2026, Kairat Almaty will host Irtysh Pavlodar in the teams’ next fixture. Pre-match analysis makes Kairat Almaty the favorite with a 71% win probability, against 7% for Irtysh Pavlodar. Irtysh Pavlodar last met Kairat Almaty on 2 May 2026, with the final score recorded as 0:1. The last five matches for Kairat Almaty resulted in 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses. In comparison, Irtysh Pavlodar have recorded 2 victories, 0 draws, and 3 defeats in their last 5 games. The team strength comparison shows Kairat Almaty at 1411 Elo points, compared to 1067 points for Irtysh Pavlodar.

Upcoming matches Kairat Almaty - Irtysh Pavlodar

18 Oct 2026 18 Oct 2026 Kairat Almaty 71% 22% 7% Irtysh Pavlodar 2026/27 League Matchday 23

The percentages are calculated based on the difference in team strength according to our own rating system. The model converts this difference into the probability of either team winning, while the probability of a draw depends on how evenly matched the teams are — the smaller the gap in strength, the higher the chance of a draw.

Form in recent games

Kairat Almaty
10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 win 1:0 🏠 Zhetysu Taldykorgan League
17 Sep 2026 17 Sep 2026 loss 0:1 🚌 FC Astana League
13 Sep 2026 13 Sep 2026 loss 1:4 🏠 Tobol Kostanay League
9 Sep 2026 9 Sep 2026 win 3:0 🏠 Zhenis Astana League
5 Sep 2026 5 Sep 2026 win 3:0 🚌 Kaspiy Aktau League
Irtysh Pavlodar
10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 loss 0:2 🏠 Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk League
13 Sep 2026 13 Sep 2026 win 2:1 🏠 Okzhetpes Kokshetau League
5 Sep 2026 5 Sep 2026 loss 0:1 🚌 Zhetysu Taldykorgan League
30 Aug 2026 30 Aug 2026 win 2:1 🏠 FC Aktobe League
16 Aug 2026 16 Aug 2026 loss 0:2 🏠 Tobol Kostanay League

Elo Ranking

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Club Elo Last changes
291 Kazakhstan Kairat Almaty 1411 10 Oct 2026
1:0 vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
League
+2.27
17 Sep 2026
0:1 vs FC Astana
League
-9.46
13 Sep 2026
1:4 vs Tobol Kostanay
League
-15.71
9 Sep 2026
3:0 vs Zhenis Astana
League
+3.24
5 Sep 2026
3:0 vs Kaspiy Aktau
League
+5.09
31 Aug 2026
2:0 vs Yelimay Semey
League
+7.77
27 Aug 2026
0:3 vs RSC Anderlecht
Europa League
Qualifications - Play-off
-7.16
20 Aug 2026
0:3 vs RSC Anderlecht
Europa League
Qualifications - Play-off
-12.14
15 Aug 2026
3:1 vs Ulytau Zhezkazgan
League
+2.50
11 Aug 2026
0:1 vs Levski Sofia
Champions League
Qualifications - Round 3
-15.25
1143 Kazakhstan Irtysh Pavlodar 1067 10 Oct 2026
0:2 vs Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk
League
-8.80
13 Sep 2026
2:1 vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau
League
+13.85
5 Sep 2026
0:1 vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
League
-6.90
30 Aug 2026
2:1 vs FC Aktobe
League
+15.00
16 Aug 2026
0:2 vs Tobol Kostanay
League
-6.11
9 Aug 2026
1:3 vs Yelimay Semey
League
-3.42
1 Aug 2026
3:2 vs Kaspiy Aktau
League
+11.97
25 Jul 2026
2:1 vs Ulytau Zhezkazgan
League
+15.20
11 Jul 2026
0:1 vs Zhenis Astana
League
-7.14
5 Jul 2026
0:0 vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
League
+5.87
In the previous 30 days, Kairat Almaty lost 22.90 pts in Elo rating. This figure shows a deterioration in form. The largest gain in that period was +2.27 pts after the game against Zhetysu Taldykorgan (1:0, 10 Oct 2026), and the biggest loss in that period was -15.71 pts after the match against Tobol Kostanay (1:4, 13 Sep 2026). In the latest 3 matches Irtysh Pavlodar lost 1.85 pts in Elo rating. This number suggests little change in form. The largest gain in that period was +13.85 pts after the game against Okzhetpes Kokshetau (2:1, 13 Sep 2026), while the biggest loss in that period was -8.80 pts after the match against Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk (0:2, 10 Oct 2026). Read more about our methodology »

Match history Kairat Almaty - Irtysh Pavlodar

2 May 2026 2 May 2026 Irtysh Pavlodar 0:1 Kairat Almaty 2026/27 League Matchday 8

FAQ

The next match between Kairat Almaty and Irtysh Pavlodar will take place on 18 Oct 2026.

On 2 May 2026, the match Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kairat Almaty took place, ending with a score of 0:1.