Kazakhstan Tobol Kostanay – Zhenis Astana Kazakhstan

Tobol Kostanay - Zhenis Astana: head to head and statistics

An upcoming fixture is scheduled for 17 Oct 2026 as Tobol Kostanay go head-to-head with Zhenis Astana. Our rating model gives Tobol Kostanay a 54% chance of securing victory, while Zhenis Astana hold a 22% probability. The last meeting between Zhenis Astana and Tobol Kostanay took place on 3 May 2026 and finished with a 1:0 scoreline. Tobol Kostanay have posted a recent record of 3 victories, 0 draws, and 2 defeats from their last five games. Over the previous five fixtures, Zhenis Astana picked up 1 win, settled for 0 draws, and suffered 4 losses. Tobol Kostanay carry an Elo rating of 1284 points, with Zhenis Astana currently rated at 1190.

Upcoming matches Tobol Kostanay - Zhenis Astana

17 Oct 2026 17 Oct 2026 Tobol Kostanay 54% 24% 22% Zhenis Astana 2026/27 League Matchday 23

The percentages are calculated based on the difference in team strength according to our own rating system. The model converts this difference into the probability of either team winning, while the probability of a draw depends on how evenly matched the teams are — the smaller the gap in strength, the higher the chance of a draw.

Ranking position – UEFA

Club 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Total
131 Kazakhstan Zhenis Astana 2.000 1.500 3.000 4.000 2.000 12.500
177 Kazakhstan Tobol Kostanay 2.000 2.000 2.500 1.500 0.000 8.000

Form in recent games

Tobol Kostanay
10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 win 2:1 🏠 FC Astana League
17 Sep 2026 17 Sep 2026 loss 0:2 🏠 Yelimay Semey League
13 Sep 2026 13 Sep 2026 win 4:1 🚌 Kairat Almaty League
6 Sep 2026 6 Sep 2026 win 3:1 🏠 Ulytau Zhezkazgan League
30 Aug 2026 30 Aug 2026 loss 0:1 🚌 Kaspiy Aktau League
Zhenis Astana
10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 loss 1:2 🏠 FC Atyrau League
18 Sep 2026 18 Sep 2026 loss 1:3 🚌 Okzhetpes Kokshetau League
12 Sep 2026 12 Sep 2026 win 3:1 🏠 Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk League
9 Sep 2026 9 Sep 2026 loss 0:3 🚌 Kairat Almaty League
5 Sep 2026 5 Sep 2026 loss 0:1 🚌 FC Aktobe League

Elo Ranking

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Club Elo Last changes
590 Kazakhstan Tobol Kostanay 1284 10 Oct 2026
2:1 vs FC Astana
League
+11.55
17 Sep 2026
0:2 vs Yelimay Semey
League
-12.12
13 Sep 2026
4:1 vs Kairat Almaty
League
+15.71
6 Sep 2026
3:1 vs Ulytau Zhezkazgan
League
+5.67
30 Aug 2026
0:1 vs Kaspiy Aktau
League
-11.33
25 Aug 2026
3:2 vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
League
+6.18
16 Aug 2026
2:0 vs Irtysh Pavlodar
League
+6.11
13 Aug 2026
1:2 vs Partizan Belgrade
Conference League
Qualifications - Round 3
-9.65
6 Aug 2026
0:3 vs Partizan Belgrade
Conference League
Qualifications - Round 3
-6.10
2 Aug 2026
0:2 vs Ordabasy Shymkent
League
-6.48
862 Kazakhstan Zhenis Astana 1190 10 Oct 2026
1:2 vs FC Atyrau
League
-12.59
18 Sep 2026
1:3 vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau
League
-7.24
12 Sep 2026
3:1 vs Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk
League
+7.88
9 Sep 2026
0:3 vs Kairat Almaty
League
-3.24
5 Sep 2026
0:1 vs FC Aktobe
League
-6.23
29 Aug 2026
1:0 vs Altai Semey
League
+4.58
15 Aug 2026
4:1 vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
League
+6.51
2 Aug 2026
0:0 vs Yelimay Semey
League
+0.51
26 Jul 2026
2:3 vs Kaspiy Aktau
League
-9.39
18 Jul 2026
1:1 vs Ulytau Zhezkazgan
League
-2.77
In the last 30 days, Tobol Kostanay gained 15.14 pts in Elo rating. That figure suggests an improvement in form. The biggest gain in that period was +15.71 pts after the match against Kairat Almaty (4:1, 13 Sep 2026), while the biggest loss in that period was -12.12 pts after the game against Yelimay Semey (0:2, 17 Sep 2026). In the previous 3 encounters Zhenis Astana lost 11.95 pts in Elo rating. This figure indicates a deterioration in form. The largest gain in that period was +7.88 pts after the match against Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk (3:1, 12 Sep 2026), while the largest loss in that period was -12.59 pts after the match against FC Atyrau (1:2, 10 Oct 2026). Read more about our methodology »

Match history Tobol Kostanay - Zhenis Astana

3 May 2026 3 May 2026 Zhenis Astana 1:0 Tobol Kostanay 2026/27 League Matchday 8
29 Jun 2025 29 Jun 2025 Tobol Kostanay 2:2 Zhenis Astana 2025/26 League Matchday 14
8 Mar 2025 8 Mar 2025 Zhenis Astana 0:0 Tobol Kostanay 2025/26 League Matchday 2
4 Oct 2024 4 Oct 2024 Zhenis Astana 2:1 Tobol Kostanay 2024/25 League Matchday 22
27 Apr 2024 27 Apr 2024 Tobol Kostanay 1:1 Zhenis Astana 2024/25 League Matchday 6

FAQ

The next match between Tobol Kostanay and Zhenis Astana will take place on 17 Oct 2026.

On 3 May 2026, the match Zhenis Astana vs Tobol Kostanay took place, ending with a score of 1:0.