Riga FC - Kairat Almaty: head to head and statistics
The next match between these two sides is scheduled for 15 Oct 2026, when Riga FC face off against Kairat Almaty. Statistical simulations indicate that Riga FC have a 46% probability of winning, whereas Kairat Almaty stand at 29%. The 5-game recent record for Riga FC stands at 3 victories, 2 draws, and 0 losses. Across their last five matches, Kairat Almaty have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses. In the current Elo standings, Riga FC are rated at 1430 points, while Kairat Almaty have 1411 points.
Matches 2026/27
| 15 Oct 2026 15 Oct 2026 | Riga FC | 46% | 25% | 29% | Kairat Almaty | 2026/27 | Conference League | League phase – Matchday 1 |
The percentages are calculated based on the difference in team strength according to our own rating system. The model converts this difference into the probability of either team winning, while the probability of a draw depends on how evenly matched the teams are — the smaller the gap in strength, the higher the chance of a draw.
Ranking position – UEFA
| Club | 2021/22 | 2022/23 | 2023/24 | 2024/25 | 2025/26 | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 |
|
Kairat Almaty | 2.500 | 1.500 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 7.000 | 11.000 |
| 149 |
|
Riga FC | 2.500 | 2.000 | 2.000 | 1.500 | 2.500 | 10.500 |
Form in recent games
| Riga FC | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 | win 2:0 | 🚌 | FK Tukums | League | |
| 19 Sep 2026 19 Sep 2026 | win 1:0 | 🚌 | FS Jelgava | League | |
| 15 Sep 2026 15 Sep 2026 | win 1:0 | 🚌 | SK Super Nova | League | Head-to-head record and team comparison SK Super Nova - Riga FC |
| 11 Sep 2026 11 Sep 2026 | draw 2:2 | 🏠 | FK Auda | League | |
| 7 Sep 2026 7 Sep 2026 | draw 1:1 | 🏠 | BFC Daugavpils | League | |
| Kairat Almaty | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 | win 1:0 | 🏠 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | League | |
| 17 Sep 2026 17 Sep 2026 | loss 0:1 | 🚌 | FC Astana | League | |
| 13 Sep 2026 13 Sep 2026 | loss 1:4 | 🏠 | Tobol Kostanay | League | |
| 9 Sep 2026 9 Sep 2026 | win 3:0 | 🏠 | Zhenis Astana | League | |
| 5 Sep 2026 5 Sep 2026 | win 3:0 | 🚌 | Kaspiy Aktau | League | |
Elo Ranking
| Club | Elo | Last changes | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 252 |
|
Riga FC | 1430 |
10 Oct 2026 2:0 vs FK Tukums League +2.13 |
19 Sep 2026 1:0 vs FS Jelgava League +2.70 |
15 Sep 2026 1:0 vs SK Super Nova League +2.70 |
11 Sep 2026 2:2 vs FK Auda League -6.39 |
7 Sep 2026 1:1 vs BFC Daugavpils League -8.06 |
31 Aug 2026 2:3 vs FK Liepaja League -15.96 |
27 Aug 2026 2:1 vs KÍ Klaksvík Conference League Qualifications - Play-off +4.29 |
23 Aug 2026 3:3 vs FC RFS League -0.33 |
20 Aug 2026 0:0 vs KÍ Klaksvík Conference League Qualifications - Play-off -4.14 |
13 Aug 2026 1:1 vs Győri ETO FC Conference League Qualifications - Round 3 +2.10 |
|
| 291 |
|
Kairat Almaty | 1411 |
10 Oct 2026 1:0 vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan League +2.27 |
17 Sep 2026 0:1 vs FC Astana League -9.46 |
13 Sep 2026 1:4 vs Tobol Kostanay League -15.71 |
9 Sep 2026 3:0 vs Zhenis Astana League +3.24 |
5 Sep 2026 3:0 vs Kaspiy Aktau League +5.09 |
31 Aug 2026 2:0 vs Yelimay Semey League +7.77 |
27 Aug 2026 0:3 vs RSC Anderlecht Europa League Qualifications - Play-off -7.16 |
20 Aug 2026 0:3 vs RSC Anderlecht Europa League Qualifications - Play-off -12.14 |
15 Aug 2026 3:1 vs Ulytau Zhezkazgan League +2.50 |
11 Aug 2026 0:1 vs Levski Sofia Champions League Qualifications - Round 3 -15.25 |
|
Featured matches Riga FC - Kairat Almaty
Riga FC - Kairat Almaty, 15 Oct 2026
Riga FC will host Kazakhstan's Kairat Almaty in the opening round of the UEFA Conference League. The fixture is scheduled for 15 October 2026 at Skonto Stadium in Riga.
The Latvian side advanced through August qualifiers by defeating Iceland's Víkingur Reykjavík (1–0 at home, 1–1 away) and Georgia's Dinamo Tbilisi (1–0 at home, 1–1 away). In domestic competition, Riga sit near the top of the table, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches.
Kairat Almaty, meanwhile, overcame Andorra's Santa Coloma (3–0 at home, 3–0 away) but were eliminated in the play-off round after losing both legs to Hungary's Ferencváros (0–1 at home, 0–1 away). In the Kazakh Premier League, the club occupy an upper-mid table position, though recent results have been marked by defeats.
Both teams begin the league phase with zero points. For Riga, this will be a second consecutive season featuring in the group stage of European competition, while Kairat return to this level for the first time in several years.
FAQ
The next match between Riga FC and Kairat Almaty will take place on 15 Oct 2026.